Jumping to conclusions: Beads task

Introduction and bead #1

After each draw, the participant is asked to answer these questions:

1. Which jar do you think the beads are being drawn from?

  • Jar A (85 yellow, 15 blue)
  • Jar B (85 blue, 15 yellow)
  • No preference

2. How confident are you about your decision?

  • Guessed
  • Rather unsure
  • Rather sure
  • 100% confident

3. Do you want to submit your decision or would you rather continue the task to see another bead?

  • I want to submit my decision
  • I want to see another bead

Bead #2

Bead #3

Bead #4

Bead #5

Bead #6

Bead #7

Bead #8

Bead #9

Bead #10